a-probe-chosen-from-the-design

What is left of a probe after the rule has had it

The share of each dictionary function a rule balancing x, x2, x3, cut0 has already taken, on trials of 14 units, averaged over 100 designs. Four of the eight functions are the basis, so their share is exactly one: a randomisation test run on one of them is asking about a quantity the rule forced to zero, and one of them is the default probe of the field this measurement comes from. The four that are not still read 0.919, 0.873, 0.903, 0.832 — between 0.832 and 0.919 of them is inside the span — against closed-form removed shares of 0.000, 0.692, 0.590, 0.692. At 14 units a rule with four functions in it takes most of anything it is shown.

A probe chosen rather than pickedwide2 views

What else it draws

The same object, drawn to answer the other questions the essays put to it.

The median separation between the two components of the admissible set — the difference in their mean probe values, over the spread inside a component — over the 100 of 200 designs whose set is enumerated and found split. The separating direction carries 10.565 and needs the enumeration. The fourth power as the earlier fields use it carries 1.543; projected off the span the rule balances, 5.080. The design's own leverage, which uses no dictionary and no outcome, carries 3.836. A random direction in the same subspace carries 0.942, and a direction chosen by looking for concentrated structure carries 0.543 — below random, and the one heuristic here that is worse than not choosing at all.

Where it is used

4 essays draw this figure, each at the numbers its own argument is about, so the same picture answers 4 different questions.

All 80 figures

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